Crypto News
High Fees vs. “High Fees”: How I Learned To Stop Worrying And Love The Mempool
The recent surge in Bitcoin’s on-chain fees has reignited a familiar discussion within our community, bringing to the surface diverse perspectives on the implications and root causes of this trend. A faction within the community views these heightened fees as a strategic solution to Bitcoin’s security budget concerns. In contrast, others see them as a formidable barrier, potentially stymieing Bitcoin’s global adoption. This issue is especially pertinent for newcomers in Western markets and communities in the global south, where the proportionally higher transaction costs can be especially burdensome.
The marked increase in fees, denominated in BTC, is primarily driven by the rising popularity of ordinal inscriptions, BRC-20 tokens, and similar contrivances on the Bitcoin network. Ordinal inscriptions, which involve embedding data into the witness portion of a transaction, have become increasingly popular for creating digital collectibles and unique assets on the Bitcoin blockchain. While this practice is somewhat novel, it demands additional block space, thereby heightening the overall demand and, consequently, escalating transaction fees.
Moreover, the advent and growing popularity of BRC-20 tokens – a standard akin to Ethereum’s ERC-20, but for the Bitcoin network – has further contributed to network congestion. These tokens, often created for speculation and distribution of memecoins, require complex and often sizable transactions. The aggregate effect of these transactions intensifies the network load, further amplifying the issue of surging fees in BTC terms.
The Fundamental Shift in Network Utilization
It is essential to recognize that these techniques, and others likely to emerge, signify a paradigm shift in the utilization of the Bitcoin network. The resulting elevation in transaction fees, when measured in BTC, mirrors these evolving use cases and underscores the necessity for continual advancements in network scalability and efficiency. Others have discussed some responses to these issues, and I will not comment on specific responses other than the two below.
Re-litigating the Blocksize War
It’s important to acknowledge the topic of blocksize, albeit cautiously. The idea of re-opening the blocksize war, often suggested by some non-bitcoin factions, is not only counterproductive but also disregards the nuanced understanding required to address the current fee environment. The network’s security and efficiency do not necessitate a blocksize increase, especially not in response to the transitory strains caused by specific uses like JPEGs or BRC-20s.
The Mining Sector’s Perspective
As for the mining sector, the burgeoning interest in Bitcoin has led to novel approaches in mining pool operations, as seen with Ocean and Braidpool. These entities enable miners to create their own transaction templates and actively manage network congestion, with Ocean notably filtering out what it considers spam transactions. This evolution in mining strategies represents a balance between profit motives and the responsibility of maintaining an efficient network.
Understanding The Dual Nature of “High Fees”
High Fees in Real Terms vs. BTC Terms
https://x.com/davidfbailey/status/1737761749116358865
When dissecting the nature of high fees in Bitcoin, it’s imperative to differentiate between fees in real terms (USD) and those in BTC terms. The increase in fees in real terms is a reflection of Bitcoin’s maturation and its growing significance in the global economy, a testament to its success. Conversely, high fees in BTC terms highlight a temporary bottleneck in the network, underscoring the need for technological and community-driven innovations to bolster the network’s efficiency and scalability.
Common Themes of High Fees
A Self-Regulating Economy: Bitcoin’s fee market epitomizes a self-regulating economy. Users valuing prompt and guaranteed transactions willingly pay more, bolstering the network’s security and evolution. This self-regulation is pivotal to Bitcoin’s resilience, adapting organically to market dynamics.Efficient Use of Block Space: The high fees encourage judicious use of block space, fostering innovative applications of the Bitcoin network. Developments in second-layer solutions like Lightning, Fedimint, and Liquid are particularly noteworthy, as they promise faster transactions at reduced costs, albeit with certain trade-offs.
Celebrating High Layer-1 Fees in Real Terms
As Bitcoin forges ahead in its journey to global currency status, the inevitability of high Layer-1 fees, in real terms, is not a cause for alarm but a milestone to be celebrated. The era where transactions at even 1 sat/vB become costly marks a significant chapter in Bitcoin’s success and global influence. Resisting this trend is not just futile, but runs counter to the very ethos of Bitcoin’s growth and stability.
Reflecting Bitcoin’s Value and Demand: The correlation between high transaction fees in real terms and Bitcoin’s increasing value and demand is unmistakable. As Bitcoin cements itself as a viable investment and transactional asset, the willingness to incur higher fees reflects its perceived utility and worth. This is a bullish signal for Bitcoin’s sustainability and long-term success.From Block Rewards to Transaction Fees: The shift from miner revenue based on block rewards to transaction fees is an essential evolution of Bitcoin’s economic model. As we edge closer to the Bitcoin supply cap, high transaction fees in real terms become crucial for compensating miners, ensuring the network’s security and longevity.Signifying Asset Maturation: High transaction fees in real terms also signify Bitcoin’s maturation as an asset class. Similar to traditional financial systems, the presence of transaction fees in the Bitcoin network underscores its evolution from a niche technological experiment to a globally recognized financial asset.Reflecting Deflationary Nature: Unlike fiat currencies, Bitcoin’s deflationary design is expected to increase its value over time. High fees in real terms validate this deflationary nature; as Bitcoin becomes more valuable, the cost to transact in Bitcoin naturally rises. This phenomenon is both expected and indicative of a successful deflationary model.
Challenges Posed by High Fees in BTC Terms
While the narrative of high Layer-1 fees in real terms underscores Bitcoin’s burgeoning role and value, the high fees in BTC terms present unique challenges that warrant careful consideration. This distinction is vital for comprehending both the current state and the future scalability of the network.
Barrier to Widespread Adoption: Exorbitant fees in BTC terms pose a significant obstacle, especially for those in developing regions or engaging in smaller transactions. The universal appeal of Bitcoin as a global currency is intrinsically linked to its accessibility and affordability. If high BTC-denominated fees persist, they risk undermining Bitcoin’s promise as a tool of financial inclusion and empowerment.Network Congestion and User Experience: Rising fees in BTC terms often signal network congestion, leading to prolonged transaction times and a diminished user experience. For Bitcoin to thrive as a practical, day-to-day transactional medium, it must offer consistent reliability and efficiency. Current high fees in BTC terms point to a bottleneck in transaction processing, which can deter both prospective and existing users.Centralization Concerns: While all high fees tend to encourage centralization, those in BTC terms have a pronounced impact, potentially shifting transaction processing towards larger entities capable of affording such fees. This shift challenges Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos, with potential implications for its security, integrity, and overall trustworthiness.
The Myth of the “Security Budget Issue” and the “Mining Death Spiral”
A common misconception within Bitcoin discussions is the fear of a ‘security budget issue’ or a ‘mining death spiral.’ These concerns often stem from misunderstandings about the halvings and the decreasing block subsidy, leading to apprehensions about inadequate miner incentives.
However, such fears fail to account for the crucial factor of purchasing power. Consider this: if Bitcoin’s value reaches $550k, even a constant block fee of around 25M sats would surpass the current 6.25 BTC block subsidy’s purchasing power at today’s $40k/BTC. What matters most is not the quantity of Bitcoin awarded, but the purchasing power it represents. As long as this continues to increase, miner remuneration remains sustainable and secure.
The focus should not be on increasing fees in Bitcoin terms or considering alternatives like tail-emission, but rather on ensuring that the purchasing power derived from transaction fees continues to grow. This is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s economic model, emphasizing the importance of a unitary currency system.
Layer-2 Technologies and Fee Dynamics
The emergence and integration of Layer-2 technologies represent a critical evolution in Bitcoin’s ecosystem. While these technologies might reduce fees in BTC terms, they are essential for the network’s scalability and future viability. Efficient Layer-2 solutions can potentially compress transactions more effectively than currently possible on Layer-1.
High fees in BTC terms signal the need for more extensive and innovative Layer-2 solutions, to ensure the scalability and efficiency of the network. It’s clear that the Bitcoin blockchain, in its current state, cannot handle a significant fraction of global daily transaction volume – nor should it aim to. The real solution lies in a combination of improved Layer-2 innovations, renegotiating conventions, and possibly revising consensus mechanisms.
Conclusion
In summing up the discourse on Bitcoin’s transaction fees, it becomes evident that the dual perspectives of high fees – in real terms versus BTC terms – are emblematic of a currency in the throes of evolution and maturation. *There is no need for increasing fees in Bitcoin terms, or anything like tail-emission, so long as the purchasing power continues to increase.* Which, you’ll note, is the entire point of a depreciating or unitary currency.
High fees in real terms should be seen not as a deterrent but as a hallmark of Bitcoin’s increasing value and mainstream adoption. This trend, though challenging, is a testament to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a significant financial asset on the global stage. It highlights Bitcoin’s journey from a novel digital experiment to a robust, decentralized financial system.
Conversely, the challenges posed by high fees in BTC terms underscore a critical juncture in Bitcoin’s development. They emphasize the need for innovative solutions to enhance network efficiency and scalability, ensuring Bitcoin remains accessible and viable for a diverse, global user base, and an escape hatch on the ever encroaching fiat. As the Bitcoin community navigates these complexities, the focus must remain on advancing technologies and strategies that uphold the core principles of decentralization, security, and inclusivity.
In navigating the future, the Bitcoin ecosystem must balance its growing value with the pragmatic approach to its technical and economic challenges. The evolution of Layer-2 technologies, along with community-driven initiatives, will be pivotal in addressing these challenges. As Bitcoin continues to evolve, it stands not only as a testament to the ingenuity of its design but also as a beacon for the potential of decentralized digital currencies to revolutionize the financial landscape.
The author would like to acknowledge @theemikehobart, @cryptoquick, @GrassfedBitcoin, and @barackomaba, who contributed thoughts and comments during the drafting of this article.
This is a guest post by Colin Crossman. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.
The ongoing debate over high fees generated by Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens has created a large rift in how to respond to the fee pressure. This is a complicated and nuanced topic to analyze.
Crypto News
Perianne Boring Predicts Trump’s 2025 Economic Policies Will Drive Bitcoin Price to $800K
Bitcoin investors received a jolt of optimism on Fox Business’ Mornings With Maria on December 13, 2024, when Digital Chamber founder and CEO Perianne Boring unveiled a staggering price prediction. Speaking with host Maria Bartiromo, Boring suggested that bitcoin could surge to $800,000 in 2025 under economic proposals set forth by President-elect Donald Trump.
Personnel is policy: Perianne Boring pic.twitter.com/52IPUr2owR
— Mornings with Maria (@MorningsMaria) December 13, 2024
Boring’s insights underscore how policy-driven macroeconomic factors could catalyze bitcoin’s ascent to historic highs. With its fixed supply, bitcoin’s unique scarcity positions it to thrive under conditions of increased adoption and favorable policy environments—a scenario Boring believes Trump is poised to create.
Trump’s Bitcoin Vision: A Policy Blueprint for Growth
The conversation with Bartiromo highlighted several proposals that could act as a tailwind for bitcoin’s growth. “What President-elect Donald Trump has proposed, what he’s outlined to our community, would absolutely solidify the United States’ leadership in the digital asset and blockchain technology ecosystem,” Boring stated.
She pointed to Trump’s famous bitcoin speech in Nashville, where he laid out a vision of building a national bitcoin stockpile and leveraging tax policy to attract economic activity into the space. Boring emphasized the importance of addressing regulatory challenges: “He wants to clear up a lot of these regulatory friction points for the industry. The U.S. has driven out activity under the Biden administration. We need leadership at the very, very top to bring these markets back to the United States.“
Regulatory Clarity on the Horizon?
Boring also addressed the ongoing confusion between the SEC and CFTC regarding oversight, which has driven significant innovation out of the U.S. She shared optimism about Trump’s personnel choices, including potential appointments like Paul Atkins for SEC chair and Brian Quintens for CFTC leadership. Both figures, she explained, bring technical and industry expertise needed to restore clarity and confidence to the market.
“Paul Atkins is absolutely committed to bringing that regulatory clarity,” Boring said. She also noted Quintens’ history of advocating for self-regulation in the digital asset market, adding that both leaders could “put us in the right step.”
A Historic Price Catalyst?
When Bartiromo raised the topic of price projections, Boring delivered the show-stopping prediction that captured investors’ imaginations: “The stock-to-flow model says it’s going to be at over $800,000 by the end of next year. If Donald Trump is successful in putting forth a lot of the proposals that he’s proposed to the community, the sky is the limit because bitcoin has a fixed supply.“
This bullish outlook aligns with models that measure bitcoin’s price trajectory relative to its halving cycles and its immutable monetary policy. The fixed supply cap of 21 million bitcoins contrasts sharply with the inflationary tendencies of fiat currencies, positioning bitcoin as a potential store of value in uncertain economic times.
Market Insights for Bitcoin Investors
While ambitious, the $800,000 price target reflects a growing belief among market analysts that supportive policies, reduced regulatory friction, and a resurgence of U.S.-led innovation could create the perfect storm for bitcoin adoption. Investors should watch closely as Trump’s administration shapes the landscape.
The alignment of fiscal policy, regulatory reform, and institutional confidence could reignite bitcoin’s trajectory. For those holding or considering allocations, the evolving policy backdrop could represent a pivotal moment in bitcoin’s maturation.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, Eric Trump, a prominent American businessman, Executive Vice President of the Trump Organization, and son of President-elect Donald Trump, made headlines at the Bitcoin MENA event in Abu Dhabi on December 10. Speaking to a captivated audience, he confidently predicted that Bitcoin would someday reach $1 million per BTC. This bold forecast aligns with the Trump family’s increasing advocacy for Bitcoin and its transformative potential in global finance. Eric Trump’s statement not only underscores the administration’s pro-Bitcoin stance but also reinforces the positive feedback loop of institutional and policy support driving long-term price appreciation.
With potential catalysts on the horizon, one thing is certain: 2025 could be a defining year for bitcoin’s role in the global financial system.
In a bold prediction on Fox Business, Perianne Boring, CEO of the Digital Chamber, asserted that President-elect Donald Trump’s economic policies could position the U.S. as a global leader in bitcoin adoption, potentially driving the asset’s price to an unprecedented $800,000 by 2025.
Crypto News
Tando Was All The Rage At This Year’s Africa Bitcoin Conference
Before I even arrived at this year’s Africa Bitcoin Conference, I saw attendees posting about Tando, a new Kenya-based payments app that allows users to spend their sats with merchants who don’t accept bitcoin.
Just arrived in Nairobi 🇰🇪🛬 & the 1st thing I see as I exit is the @tando_me sign
LET’S GO @AfroBitcoinOrg 🙌🏾 pic.twitter.com/zhPSP2dTH8
— OKIN | Nikolai Tjongarero (@OKIN_17) December 8, 2024
“How is this possible?”, you might ask. Well, let me explain.
To use Tando, you simply download the app and prepare to pay any merchant who accepts payments via M-PESA, Kenya’s mobile money service. (Notice I didn’t say you had to go through a set up or KYC process, as neither are necessary — Tando doesn’t collect any identifying information from its users.)
When the merchant presents you with your bill, you simply click on the “Send Money” square on the app’s home screen. From there, you enter the mobile number tied to the M-PESA account to which you’re sending money and then input the amount of Kenyan shillings you want to send.
The app automatically calculates the amount of sats it will take to cover the shilling amount you’ve input. You then click on the green “Create Invoice” button to obtain a Lightning invoice. After that, you copy the invoice and pay it via your preferred Lightning wallet. Tando receives the sats and then settles the bill in shillings with the merchant within seconds.
I can barely count how many times I’ve watched Bitcoiners use Tando to pay restaurant bills or taxi fares since I’ve been here. (I’ve been to a lot of restaurants and have ridden in a lot of taxis since I’ve arrived.)
Now, I know what some of you are thinking: Tando interfaces with a fiat payment system, which means it should be excommunicated from the Church of Bitcoin.
But before you allow yourself to entertain that kind of thinking, please consider the following notions:
- You’re a loser.
- Here in Kenya, much like in other parts of Africa, people actually use bitcoin for payments.
- When you show someone how to use Tando, it provides you with an opportunity to show the merchant what Bitcoin is as you show them how the app works. (I watched Gorilla Sats’ Brindon Mwiine masterfully do this for a waitress at a conference after party.)
- M-PESA requires that its users KYC and some Kenyan citizens don’t have the proper documentation to do so, which means they’re excluded from the system. Using Tando, they can be included in Kenya’s broader monetary system.
The excitement around Tando at the conference was part of the broader enthusiasm around apps that make bitcoin easier to use across the African continent — apps like Bitsacco, Machankura, Fedi and Bitnob.
Massive shout out to the devs making #Bitcoin wallets easier to use.@bitsacco @Machankura8333 @fedibtc @tando_me @Loicbtc pic.twitter.com/UhVw5bnBxO
— Frank Corva (@frankcorva) December 11, 2024
African Bitcoiners are far ahead of their counterparts in the United States when it comes to using bitcoin as it is intended to be used — as peer-to-peer electronic cash.
And while many Africans are working tirelessly to onboard as many merchants as they can to Bitcoin, Tando is an excellent intermediary step that allows Bitcoiners to spend their sats even if the merchants with whom they’re spending don’t yet accept bitcoin payments.
The app lets users pay any merchant in Kenya that accepts digital payments via M-PESA with bitcoin over Lightning.
Crypto News
Early Bitcoin Investor Sentenced to Prison for Tax Evasion on $3.7 Million BTC Sale
An Austin, Texas man, Frank Richard Ahlgren III, has been sentenced to two years in prison for filing false tax returns that underreported the capital gains from selling $3.7 million worth of bitcoin, the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) announced today.
According to the DOJ, Ahlgren was an early Bitcoin investor who began purchasing bitcoin in 2011. In 2015, he acquired 1,366 bitcoins through his Coinbase account, a year in which the price of bitcoin peaked at approximately $495 per coin. By October 2017, Bitcoin’s value had surged, and Ahlgren sold 640 bitcoins for $5,807 each, totaling a gain of $3.7 million. He then used the proceeds to purchase a home in Park City, Utah.
However, when filing his 2017 tax return, Ahlgren misrepresented the gains by inflating the cost basis of his bitcoin purchases, claiming he had acquired the coins at prices higher than market rates. This misreporting significantly reduced the reported capital gains.
Between 2018 and 2019, Ahlgren sold additional bitcoins worth over $650,000 but failed to report these transactions on his tax returns entirely. In an attempt to conceal his gains, he transferred funds through multiple wallets, exchanged bitcoin for cash in person, and using mixers to anonymize his bitcoin transactions.
In total, the DOJ stated that Ahlgren’s actions resulted in a tax loss exceeding $1 million.
“Frank Ahlgren III earned millions buying and selling bitcoins,” said Acting Deputy Assistant Attorney General Stuart M. Goldberg of the Justice Department’s Tax Division “But instead of paying the taxes he knew were due, he lied to his accountant about the extent of a large portion of his gains, and sought to conceal another chunk of his profits through sophisticated techniques designed to obscure his transactions on the bitcoin blockchain. That conduct today earned him a two-year sentence.”
The U.S. District Court Judge Robert Pitman sentenced Ahlgren to two years in prison, followed by one year of supervised release. Additionally, Ahlgren was ordered to pay $1,095,031 in restitution to the U.S. government.
“Ahlgren will serve time because he believed his cryptocurrency transactions were untraceable. This case demonstrates that no one is above the law. My team at IRS Criminal Investigation has the expertise and tools to track financial activity, whether it involves dollars, pesos, or cryptocurrency,” said Acting Special Agent in Charge Lucy Tan of IRS-Criminal Investigation (IRS-CI)’s Houston Field Office. “This case marks the first criminal tax evasion prosecution centered solely on cryptocurrency. As the prices for cryptocurrency are high, so is the temptation to not pay taxes on its sale. Avoid the temptation and avoid federal prison.”
This marks the first criminal tax evasion prosecution centered solely on bitcoin.
-
Awakening Video1 year ago
This is What Happens When You Try to Report Dirty Cops
-
Substacks9 months ago
THE IRON-CLAD PIÑATA Seymour Hersh
-
Substacks1 year ago
The Russell Brand Rorschach Test Kathleen Stock
-
Substacks1 year ago
A real fact-check of Trump’s appearance on Meet the Press Judd Legum
-
Substacks1 year ago
Letter to the Children of Gaza – Read by Eunice Wong Chris Hedges